Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.253418 0.293065 0.338213 0.393709 0.460468 0.538663 0.637879
2025-09-28 0.190774 0.241066 0.304858 0.392915 0.513225 0.674696 0.912747
2025-10-05 0.159281 0.214544 0.290405 0.404745 0.577385 0.836316 1.270252
2025-10-12 0.137580 0.194697 0.278113 0.413051 0.634352 0.999301 1.684652
2025-10-19 0.121574 0.179188 0.267779 0.419964 0.688177 1.169682 2.174550
2025-10-26 0.110430 0.168704 0.262519 0.432703 0.753313 1.377227 2.821475
2025-11-02 0.099925 0.157363 0.253528 0.436427 0.801931 1.567131 3.518723
2025-11-09 0.090755 0.146776 0.243869 0.436527 0.842791 1.753177 4.301250
2025-11-16 0.082550 0.136667 0.233376 0.432706 0.874122 1.927796 5.151019
2025-11-23 0.075140 0.126994 0.222213 0.425280 0.895472 2.085576 6.047984
2025-11-30 0.071011 0.122741 0.220599 0.437326 0.964895 2.392844 7.645949
2025-12-07 0.065251 0.114757 0.210592 0.429216 0.982994 2.565498 8.891628
2025-12-14 0.061189 0.109677 0.205959 0.432963 1.034345 2.863358 10.928553
2025-12-21 0.057100 0.104119 0.199663 0.431834 1.073064 3.141622 13.178217
2025-12-28 0.054632 0.101524 0.199285 0.445035 1.156697 3.614768 16.988171
2026-01-04 0.052080 0.098470 0.197485 0.454332 1.231987 4.099810 21.581648
2026-01-11 0.049647 0.095401 0.195243 0.462080 1.305339 4.621508 27.313243
2026-01-18 0.047843 0.093484 0.195385 0.476367 1.405602 5.323074 35.846625
2026-01-25 0.045563 0.090294 0.192129 0.480546 1.472751 5.921421 44.981660
2026-02-01 0.043247 0.086804 0.187731 0.480659 1.525805 6.491479 55.477935
2026-02-08 0.040895 0.083018 0.182176 0.476371 1.561418 7.000429 66.982231
2026-02-15 0.038538 0.079020 0.175654 0.468041 1.579069 7.427729 79.080901
2026-02-22 0.037414 0.077783 0.176030 0.481555 1.692430 8.531295 106.574871